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Putin's Russian loyalists could hold power until 2045, analyst says
British expert on Russian politics Andrew Monaghan said today that it is already possible to glimpse a generation of leaders who will follow President Vladimir Putin, and who could be in power in 2045.
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"We see a number of young individuals, people in their 30s and 40s, being appointed to very senior or important positions in the structures of the state. In my view, the leadership of 2045 is already almost at the top," he said in London on Tuesday at the launch of a new edition of his book, "The New Politics of Russia: Interpreting Change".
According to Monaghan, "while there have been elections and there is considerable continuity at the very top, we are already seeing the younger generation starting to emerge in key positions and I think that will become much more visible" in the coming years.
In the book, the founding director of the Russia Research Network and a senior research fellow at the Royal United Services Institute (RUSI) think tank, charts the evolution of domestic politics in Russia, looking not only at party and parliamentary politics, but also at the opposition and protest movements.
The president’s inner circle, he suggests, is made up of three groups: the “leadership team,” the “federal locomotives,” who are tasked with overseeing major projects, and the “managers.”
The first group includes the newly appointed first deputy prime minister Sergei Ivanov, the secretary of the Russian Security Council Nikolai Patrushev and former president Dmitry Medvedev, who is now deputy chairman of the Security Council.
The second group notably features the chief executive of Russian state oil company Rosneft, Igor Ivanovich Sechin.
Moscow Mayor Sergei Sobyanin and Putin’s first deputy chief of staff, Sergei Kiriyenko, are among the names associated with the third group.
"Rather than looking at Putin’s Russia, we should be looking much more at Putinism. That helps us to understand the sense of continuity and change," Monaghan said.
See Also: Swiss president invites Putin for talks ahead of peace conference (Portuguese version)
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